Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2674 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 2674 · LGA → IAH

departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 5:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2674 · LGA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?