Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2691 LANDED 6:43 AM CT, ~32 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 2691 · IAD → ORD

took off 6:12 AM ET · landed 6:43 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.20 in

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2691 · IAD → ORD

Odds over time