Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2738 LANDED 4:22 PM CT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 2738 · IAH → MSY

took off 3:36 PM CT · landed 4:22 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.12 in

MSY (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling733 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2738 · IAH → MSY

Odds over time