Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2766 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:20 AM ET, ETA 9:28 AM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 2766 · EWR → SAN

took off 7:20 AM ET · expected to land 9:28 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SAN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2766 · EWR → SAN

Odds over time