Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2797 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:29 PM PT, ETA 7:57 PM CT)
Today

UA 2797 · SMF → ORD

took off 2:29 PM PT · expected to land 7:57 PM CT (scheduled 2:17 PM PT → 8:22 PM CT)
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
4% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 18h 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    96%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.