Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 312 LANDED 4:10 PM CT, ~17 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 312 · DSM → ORD

took off 3:21 PM CT · landed 4:10 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

DSM (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 312 · DSM → ORD

Odds over time