Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 346 LANDED 10:14 AM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 346 · TVC → ORD

took off 10:24 AM ET · landed 10:14 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

TVC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9.2 mi Precip0.02 in

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 346 · TVC → ORD

Odds over time