Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 417 LANDED 7:05 AM PT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 417 · IAH → LAX

took off 6:08 AM CT · landed 7:05 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 417 · IAH → LAX

Odds over time