UA 440 · AVL → DEN

took off 3:47 PM ET · landed 4:47 PM MT (scheduled 3:33 PM ET → 5:15 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 440 · AVL → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?