Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 448 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 448 · FCA → IAH

departs 2:00 PM MT · arrives 6:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±7 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FCA

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

FCA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 448 · FCA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?