Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 454SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 454 · EWR → DFW
departs 9:06 AM ET · arrives 11:49 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31%chance · ±5 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.