Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 486SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
UA 486 · MCO → CLE
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 2:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.