UA 532 · ATL → IAH

took off 7:38 AM ET · expected to land 8:17 AM CT (scheduled 7:05 AM ET → 8:15 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

LIVE

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from ATL are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.06 in

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 532 · ATL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?