Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 533SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 533 · ORD → BZN
departs 8:15 PM CT · arrives 10:43 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to BZN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.