UA 53 · ZRH → IAD

departs 1:30 PM CEST · arrives 5:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ZRH

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ZRH (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAD (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 53 · ZRH → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?