Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 594 LANDED 10:08 AM CT, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 594 · MCI → IAH

took off 8:31 AM CT · landed 10:08 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 594 · MCI → IAH

Odds over time