UA 595 · AUS → DEN

departs 8:31 AM CT · arrives 9:50 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ 8am departures from AUS are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 595 · AUS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?