Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 623 LANDED 12:17 PM MT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 623 · IAH → BZN

took off 10:03 AM CT · landed 12:17 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BZN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 623 · IAH → BZN

Odds over time