Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 742 LANDED 6:49 PM CT, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 742 · TPA → IAH

took off 5:45 PM ET · landed 6:49 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 742 · TPA → IAH

Odds over time