UA 761 · MUC → DEN

took off 4:36 PM CEST · expected to land 6:33 PM MT (scheduled 4:12 PM CEST → 6:47 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC

↓ Other factors

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 761 · MUC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?