Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 818 LANDED 4:50 AM CT, ~22 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 818 · EZE → IAH

took off · landed 4:50 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EZE

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EZE (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 818 · EZE → IAH

Odds over time