UA 927 · FRA → SFO

departs 5:32 PM CEST · arrives 7:52 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

FRA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SFO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 927 · FRA → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?