WN 1011 · MTJ → DEN

took off 9:57 AM MT · landed 10:35 AM MT (scheduled 9:03 AM MT → 10:17 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTJ

Weather at each end

MTJ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1011 · MTJ → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?