Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1027 LANDED 4:46 PM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 1027 · CUN → MSY

took off · landed 4:46 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MSY (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1027 · CUN → MSY

Odds over time