Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1035
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 1035 · BWI → ORF
departs 8:20 AM ET · arrives 9:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BWI is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ORF that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into ORF at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.