Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1139 LANDED 9:09 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 1139 · BWI → RIC

took off 8:39 AM ET · landed 9:09 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at RIC that day

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

RIC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling360 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1139 · BWI → RIC

Odds over time