WN 1180 · DAL → RDU

took off 6:25 PM CT · landed 9:32 PM ET (scheduled 5:07 PM CT → 8:55 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RDU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

RDU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1180 · DAL → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?