Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1192 · DAL → ORF
departs 10:40 AM CT · arrives 2:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at ORF that day
↓
ORF usually runs smoothly
↓
10am departures from DAL are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.