Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 120
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 120 · MSY → DAL
departs 10:10 AM CT · arrives 11:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
↓
10am departures from MSY are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.74 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.