Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1263 · LAX → DAL
departs 9:50 AM PT · arrives 2:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 61%
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.