Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1269
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1269 · ELP → DAL
departs 3:55 PM MT · arrives 6:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.