Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1269 LANDED 11:22 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 1269 · MKE → TPA

took off 8:07 AM CT · landed 11:22 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1269 · MKE → TPA

Odds over time