Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1303 LANDED 1:16 PM ET, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 1303 · CVG → MCO

took off 11:33 AM ET · landed 1:16 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ 10am departures from CVG are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1303 · CVG → MCO

Odds over time