Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1402 LANDED 1:13 PM ET, ~28 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 1402 · FLL → BWI

took off 11:04 AM ET · landed 1:13 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ 10am departures from FLL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1402 · FLL → BWI

Odds over time