Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1403
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1403 · ECP → DAL
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 10:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Other factors
↓
8am departures from ECP are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.53 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.