Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1427 · BNA → LGB
departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 8:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
LGB (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.