WN 1436 · DAL → PHX

took off 1:34 PM CT · landed 1:37 PM MT (scheduled 1:12 PM CT → 1:57 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ 1pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

PHX (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1436 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?