Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1454 LANDED 4:17 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3

WN 1454 · SAT → HOU

took off 3:44 PM CT · landed 4:17 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1454 · SAT → HOU

Odds over time