Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1472 LANDED 10:13 AM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 1472 · DAL → TPA

took off 7:11 AM CT · landed 10:13 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

TPA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1472 · DAL → TPA

Odds over time