WN 1477 · ELP → HOU

took off 10:06 AM MT · landed 12:32 PM CT (scheduled 9:57 AM MT → 12:56 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HOU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ 9am departures from ELP are usually not late

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1477 · ELP → HOU

Odds over time

How late did it get to HOU?