Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 149 LANDED 2:05 AM PT, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 149 · BNA → LAX

took off 12:10 AM CT · landed 2:05 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at BNA that day

↑ Other factors

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 149 · BNA → LAX

Odds over time