Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1505
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1505 · DEN → BZN
departs 9:05 PM MT · arrives 10:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BZN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BZN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BZN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.