WN 1507 · RSW → MKE

took off 2:19 PM ET · landed 3:51 PM CT (scheduled 2:17 PM ET → 4:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MKE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ 2pm departures from RSW are often late

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ RSW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1507 · RSW → MKE

Odds over time

How late did it get to MKE?