Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1529 · SRQ → DAL
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.