WN 1534 · BWI → ABQ

departs 2:14 PM ET · arrives 4:34 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1534 · BWI → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?