Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1542 · DAL → RSW
departs 3:30 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
3pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.25 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.