WN 1546 · BNA → RSW

took off 4:03 PM CT · landed 6:41 PM ET (scheduled 3:44 PM CT → 6:54 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1546 · BNA → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?