Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 1551 · DEN → ICT
departs 6:55 PM MT · arrives 9:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 32%
Thu 10/8 14%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.