Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1554 LANDED 8:37 AM MT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 1554 · DAL → ABQ

took off 8:17 AM CT · landed 8:37 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1554 · DAL → ABQ

Odds over time