Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 15
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 15 · DAL → HOU
departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Thu 10/8 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.